Momodu predicts tough battle for Tinubu in 2027 elections

African Democratic Congress leader, Dele Momodu, believes that the 2027 presidential election will be a challenging fight for President Bola Tinubu.

Momodu shared his thoughts during an interview on Nevon Media with journalist Oseni Rufai on Friday. He is hopeful that the ADC’s presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, will win the election.

He stated that Atiku can beat both Tinubu and the Nigeria Democratic Congress candidate, Peter Obi, if he gains strong backing in the North and remains competitive in the South.

“As I predicted, Atiku will win the majority of the North, and if he is able to compete favourably in the South, it will be over for President Tinubu and Peter Obi,” he said.

“Atiku will secure at least 25% of the votes in 26 states while also dominating the North, which is where the bulk of the votes are,” he added.

Atiku's Strategy

Momodu also talked about Nigeria’s rules for winning the presidency. He noted that a candidate must have the highest total votes and get at least 25% of votes in two-thirds of the states.

He is confident that Atiku can reach this goal by gathering support in the northern states where many votes are.

He said, “Once you get voluminous votes from the north, it will leave the south limping. That’s why Tinubu is desperate to make sure that they delete some parties. Especially because of Atiku. And the north has already played a strategic thing this time. That move is so strategic that they made sure there is no strong leader competing against Atiku in the north.

“Now, Kwankwaso is a running mate. The north will not play second fiddle, just like in the south they are blaming anybody who is competing against Tinubu as a traitor, the same way the north is treating anybody who does not support Atiku as a traitor. So, that’s number one. So, that’s a different scenario from 2023.”

Focus on the South

He added, “He (Atiku) will then navigate his way to the south. In the south, there is no way he will not compete well in Osun State. There is no way.”

This comes even after Osun State Governor Ademola Adeleke of the Accord Party has repeatedly endorsed the president.

Momodu insisted that the people of Osun, not the governor, will ultimately decide the outcome.

His comments come as political figures prepare for the 2027 general elections.

In the 2023 presidential election, Tinubu won with about 37 percent of the vote. He received strong support from the South-West and significant votes from other regions.