The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has praised the Central Bank of Nigeria’s decision to lower the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) by 350 basis points to 23 percent. They believe this change could lower financing costs, encourage investment, and boost economic growth.
On Tuesday, the CBN announced the drop in the benchmark interest rate, the MPR, from 26.5 percent. This decision came after the 307th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja.
In a policy brief signed by its Chief Executive Officer, Muda Yusuf, CPPE called this adjustment a big change from the long period of strict monetary policy.
“The size of the adjustment was mostly unexpected and represents a big shift from the long-term restrictive monetary policy,” the group said. “It signals an important rebalancing of monetary policy towards supporting growth, investment and economic recovery, while keeping price and financial-system stability.”
Change in Policy Corridor
The private-sector group also welcomed the change in the asymmetric corridor around the MPR from +50/-450 basis points to +50/-300 basis points. They said this further strengthens the adjustment of the monetary policy framework.
CPPE mentioned that the rate change was timely. They noted the improvement in inflation and the rising costs linked to a strict monetary environment.
They said the former MPR of 26.5 percent had become out of sync with an inflation rate of about 15.4 percent and current money-market rates of around 20 percent.
According to the group, this misalignment weakened the signaling role of the policy rate and raised worries about how well monetary policy could work. “The reduction of the MPR to 23% should therefore be seen not just as easing monetary policy, but as an important realignment of the policy rate with current macroeconomic and financial-market conditions,” CPPE added.
Impact on Businesses
The think tank stated that this adjustment could help businesses, especially those in manufacturing, agriculture, construction, and logistics. High financing costs have been holding back investment, production, and working capital in these sectors.
They said this policy change could lower the cost of capital, improve cash flows, encourage investment, and strengthen the economy’s productive ability.
But CPPE pointed out that the benefits depend on how well the new policy rate reaches the real economy. “The CPPE expects banks to reflect the new monetary policy environment in the pricing of credit. Lending rates on both new and existing loans should gradually go down.
Without proper transmission to borrowers, the effect of the policy change on investment and economic growth would be limited,” they said.
Effects on Government Borrowing
The organization noted that the rate cut could also affect the Federal Government’s domestic borrowing costs. They said the high-interest rate environment has raised the government’s domestic debt-service burden, as government securities compete with high market yields.
According to CPPE, steady reductions in interest rates could lower the marginal cost of government borrowing and, over time, ease domestic debt-service costs. They said this could provide more room for spending on infrastructure, security, education, healthcare, and other development needs.
“The fiscal benefit would depend on how much the MPR adjustment leads to lower yields across the government securities market,” the think tank added.
Risks to Foreign Exchange
Even with the rate cut, CPPE warned that the change could create risks for the foreign exchange market and capital flows. They said the difference between Nigeria’s monetary policy direction and recent rate increases by some major central banks could affect interest-rate differences and the appeal of naira-denominated financial assets.
“This creates a potential risk of capital-flow reversals and renewed pressure on the foreign-exchange market,” the group said. But CPPE noted that Nigeria is entering this policy change with a stronger external position than in past easing episodes.
They mentioned improvements in foreign reserves, better stability in the foreign-exchange market, and stronger external buffers. These factors could give the CBN more room to maneuver. They urged the CBN to stay alert and use monetary policy tools, including open market operations, to manage extreme volatility and keep exchange rate stability.
Need for Broader Solutions
CPPE also warned that simply lowering interest rates will not be enough for a lasting economic recovery. They said structural issues, like energy costs, logistics problems, insecurity, food production limits, infrastructure gaps, and high regulatory costs, continue to pressure prices and business costs.
“The current monetary adjustment should therefore be paired with stronger fiscal and structural actions aimed at cutting production costs, increasing productivity, boosting food and energy security, and expanding domestic production capacity,” they said.
The group emphasized that this will be necessary to make sure that lower interest rates lead to more investment and output instead of new inflation pressures. “The priority should therefore be to ensure effective monetary policy transmission while carefully managing liquidity, capital-flow, and exchange-rate risks,” CPPE said.








Drop your comment
No comments yet — be the first to drop the gist 👇